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25 Jan 2026 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Mechelen
26.1%
Draw
28.3%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

Mechelen

vs
1.21

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS56.6%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.530.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).