Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.2%
Mirandes
22.6%
Draw
49.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Mirandes
vs
1.84
Almeria
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
0-3
4.3%
0-0
4.0%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).