Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →7.7%
Monza
14.4%
Draw
78.0%
Juventus
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Monza
vs
2.50
Juventus
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.4%
0-3
11.2%
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.7%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
7.0%
1-1
6.8%
1-4
4.5%
0-0
4.2%
0-5
3.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).