Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Chorley
31.7%
Draw
29.1%
Dag and Red
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Chorley
vs
0.97
Dag and Red
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
12.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).