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AHT: 01CSV

22 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.0%
Doncaster
23.6%
Draw
32.4%
Bromley

Expected Goals (xG)

1.57

Doncaster

vs
1.31

Bromley

Markets

BTTS57.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).