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25 Apr 2026 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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57.2%
Coventry
22.0%
Draw
20.7%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.14

Coventry

vs
1.24

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS63.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.565.6%
Over 3.543.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.6%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).