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14 Sept 2025 · 16:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.6%
Strasbourg
23.9%
Draw
15.5%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Strasbourg

vs
0.63

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS36.3%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.1%
2-0
13.6%
0-0
10.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
0-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).