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27 Jul 2024 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.0%
Beerschot VA
28.2%
Draw
41.8%
Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Beerschot VA

vs
1.38

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Markets

BTTS51.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).