Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.0%
St Etienne
17.6%
Draw
15.3%
Montpellier
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
St Etienne
vs
0.98
Montpellier
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.583.2%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.2%
1-1
8.1%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).