Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.9%
Orleans
26.0%
Draw
22.1%
Chateauroux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Orleans
vs
0.76
Chateauroux
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.561.6%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
11.0%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).