Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.3%
Dorking
12.6%
Draw
81.1%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Dorking
vs
3.00
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.572.9%
Over 3.552.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
10.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
8.0%
1-2
8.0%
0-4
7.7%
0-1
6.4%
1-4
6.0%
1-1
5.8%
0-5
4.6%
1-5
3.6%
2-3
3.2%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).