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14 Oct 2025 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.2%
Sutton
21.9%
Draw
46.9%
Farnham Town

Expected Goals (xG)

1.48

Sutton

vs
1.85

Farnham Town

Markets

BTTS64.8%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-1
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
6.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-3
4.1%
2-0
3.9%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).