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23 Dec 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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32.9%
Wealdstone
30.2%
Draw
36.9%
Hartlepool

Expected Goals (xG)

1.13

Wealdstone

vs
1.21

Hartlepool

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.521.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.7%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.0%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).