Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Tranmere
25.0%
Draw
41.4%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Tranmere
vs
1.40
Accrington
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.6%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
7.7%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
0-3
3.3%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).