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19 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.7%
Boston Utd
28.4%
Draw
33.9%
Halifax

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Boston Utd

vs
1.26

Halifax

Markets

BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
8.4%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).