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12 Apr 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.3%
Rubin Kazan
26.7%
Draw
30.0%
Lokomotiv Moskva

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Rubin Kazan

vs
1.34

Lokomotiv Moskva

Markets

BTTS61.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.7%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).