Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.9%
Chateauroux
25.4%
Draw
29.7%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
1.34
Chateauroux
vs
1.03
Niort
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).