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AHT: 01CSV

09 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.6%
Dover Athletic
30.6%
Draw
43.8%
Harrogate

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Dover Athletic

vs
1.29

Harrogate

Markets

BTTS44.8%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
13.0%
0-0
12.0%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).