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12 Feb 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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55.4%
Walsall
22.2%
Draw
22.4%
Tranmere

Expected Goals (xG)

1.80

Walsall

vs
1.05

Tranmere

Markets

BTTS53.8%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
0-1
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).