Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Girona
28.3%
Draw
37.1%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Girona
vs
1.22
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS48.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.521.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
3.0%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).