Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.4%
Dag and Red
21.0%
Draw
63.6%
York
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Dag and Red
vs
2.19
York
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
0-1
8.2%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
7.2%
2-2
5.0%
0-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
1-4
4.0%
0-4
3.9%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).