Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Stevenage
28.7%
Draw
40.9%
Charlton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Stevenage
vs
1.09
Charlton
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.531.5%
Over 3.513.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.2%
1-0
13.5%
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
2-2
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).