Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Girona
25.2%
Draw
44.9%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Girona
vs
1.62
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.9%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).