Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Accrington
33.3%
Draw
36.6%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Accrington
vs
0.89
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS31.3%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.549.2%
Over 2.523.4%
Over 3.58.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.4%
0-1
17.3%
1-0
15.2%
1-1
12.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
2.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
3-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).