Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.2%
Chateauroux
22.9%
Draw
46.0%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Chateauroux
vs
1.58
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).