Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.5%
Santa Clara
29.4%
Draw
25.1%
Maritimo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Santa Clara
vs
0.78
Maritimo
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.557.3%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
11.7%
2-0
9.7%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).