Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.6%
Cardiff
16.1%
Draw
15.3%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
2.47
Cardiff
vs
1.08
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS59.7%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
1-0
7.8%
3-0
7.3%
1-1
7.0%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
0-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).