Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.2%
Eibar
31.2%
Draw
23.6%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Eibar
vs
0.76
Alaves
Markets
BTTS36.8%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.557.5%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
0-0
14.9%
1-1
13.2%
0-1
10.8%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).