Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.8%
Celta
23.6%
Draw
21.7%
Sociedad
Expected Goals (xG)
1.80
Celta
vs
1.05
Sociedad
Markets
BTTS54.5%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).