Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.2%
Newmarket Town
15.7%
Draw
9.1%
Welling United
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Newmarket Town
vs
0.67
Welling United
Markets
BTTS43.7%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.557.8%
Over 3.535.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
3-0
10.6%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.5%
3-1
7.0%
4-0
6.2%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
3.5%
2-2
3.0%
5-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).