Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.6%
Cultural Leonesa
19.8%
Draw
62.6%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Cultural Leonesa
vs
2.15
Castellon
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-1
9.1%
0-1
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
1-0
4.4%
0-0
4.0%
1-4
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).