Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Burnley
29.3%
Draw
38.1%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Burnley
vs
1.40
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.0%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).