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HHT: 00CSV

23 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.7%
Forfar
27.4%
Draw
56.9%
Stenhousemuir

Expected Goals (xG)

0.67

Forfar

vs
1.51

Stenhousemuir

Markets

BTTS38.9%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.564.9%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
12.2%
0-0
12.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-1
3.8%
2-2
2.9%
2-0
2.5%
0-4
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).