Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.4%
Elche
20.6%
Draw
12.1%
Eldense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Elche
vs
0.66
Eldense
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
14.0%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
8.9%
0-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).