Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.0%
Brentford
25.8%
Draw
36.2%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Brentford
vs
1.63
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS66.7%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.542.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
0-0
5.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-0
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
3-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).