Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.2%
Chesterfield
23.0%
Draw
29.8%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Chesterfield
vs
1.28
Salford
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
7.3%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.2%
0-0
4.7%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).