Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.5%
Modena
28.6%
Draw
17.8%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Modena
vs
0.76
Spezia
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.566.9%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
0-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).