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20 Aug 2021 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Hannover
26.8%
Draw
37.2%
Heidenheim

Expected Goals (xG)

1.46

Hannover

vs
1.49

Heidenheim

Markets

BTTS60.5%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-0
6.6%
0-0
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
2-0
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
4.0%
2-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).