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15 Feb 2025 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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73.8%
Elversberg
15.9%
Draw
10.3%
Greuther Furth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.79

Elversberg

vs
1.01

Greuther Furth

Markets

BTTS60.2%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.589.8%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
3-0
8.1%
1-1
6.9%
4-1
5.7%
4-0
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
5-1
3.2%
1-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).