Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.3%
Karagumruk
32.0%
Draw
35.7%
Sivasspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Karagumruk
vs
1.38
Sivasspor
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.4%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
0-2
6.5%
0-1
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.5%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).