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08 Aug 2021 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.6%
Bordeaux
23.0%
Draw
28.4%
Clermont

Expected Goals (xG)

1.73

Bordeaux

vs
1.27

Clermont

Markets

BTTS58.8%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.535.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
4.7%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).