Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.2%
Swindon
26.7%
Draw
25.1%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Swindon
vs
0.83
Wigan
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.516.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.7%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.1%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.3%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
3.5%
2-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).