Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.3%
Troyes
21.9%
Draw
17.7%
Concarneau
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70
Troyes
vs
0.78
Concarneau
Markets
BTTS43.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
2-0
12.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).