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27 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Kristiansund
22.3%
Draw
41.5%
Vålerenga

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Kristiansund

vs
1.78

Vålerenga

Markets

BTTS67.2%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.0%
0-1
5.8%
1-0
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-2
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).