Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Auxerre
24.0%
Draw
52.6%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Auxerre
vs
1.57
Marseille
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.4%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
0-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).