Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
GAIS
29.1%
Draw
38.3%
Djurgården
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
GAIS
vs
1.36
Djurgården
Markets
BTTS54.1%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).