Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.9%
Grimsby
8.3%
Draw
4.8%
Willenhall Town
Expected Goals (xG)
3.56
Grimsby
vs
0.81
Willenhall Town
Markets
BTTS53.9%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.593.1%
Over 2.581.2%
Over 3.563.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.5%
4-0
8.5%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
4-1
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
5-0
6.0%
5-1
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
1-1
3.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).