Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.6%
Forest Green
26.6%
Draw
35.8%
Carlisle
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Forest Green
vs
1.19
Carlisle
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).