Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.9%
Espanol
18.8%
Draw
10.3%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Espanol
vs
0.63
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
1-0
14.1%
3-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.7%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
2-2
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).