Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.7%
Kalmar
21.2%
Draw
65.0%
Hammarby
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Kalmar
vs
2.17
Hammarby
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.537.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.7%
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
4.5%
0-4
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).